Monday, November 24, 2014

Refining our Tiers has taken all of the fun out of predictions!

Even though we lost last week (we went 6-8 against the line when we differed significantly from the Casinos), it helped us to refine our tiers and rankings. Using the casino lines, the Sagarin ratings, and in the case of the colleges the Wolfe and Massey matrices as well, we've been slowly adjusting our placements of certain teams (and others have played themselves into different positions). 

But the result is that NOW, our predictions don't really differ much from the casino spreads!

Here are the sixteen games coming up in Week 13 of the NFL this coming Thursday, Sunday, and Monday, with the casino spread and the Following Football prediction...

Thursday                                   Vegas         FF spread
Chicago @ Detroit               Det -7         Det -3
Philadelphia @ Dallas       Dal -3         Dal -3
Seattle @ San Francisco   SF -1           SF -1
Sunday
Washington @ Indy            Indy -10     Indy -11
Tennessee @ Houston       Hou -6        Hou -7
Cleveland @ Buffalo           Buf -1 1/2   Buf -1
San Diego @ Baltimore     Bal - 4 1/2  Bal -5
NY Giants @ Jacksonville NYG -3      NYG -1
Cincinnati @ Tampa Bay  Cin -4         Cin -7
Oakland @ St. Louis            StL -7         StL -7
New Orleans @ Pittsbrg    Pit -3          Pit -6
Carolina @ Minnesota       Min -2 1/2 Min - 3 1/2
Arizona @ Atlanta                Az -2          Az -7
New Eng @ Green Bay       GB -3         GB -3
Denver @ Kansas City        Den -1 1/2  Den -2
Monday
Miami @ NY Jets                   Mia -4        Mia -5

Ridiculous! The biggest discrepancies are how much Arizona and Detroit win by; everything else is within a field goal! It's hardly worth tracking this week! 

No comments:

Post a Comment