NFL
Week 11 games
Having spread our 32 teams out into eight tiers now, tier
1 being championship material and tier 8 being first-pick-in-the-draft
material, we can start using these tiers for setting point spreads as well, always remembering that nobody has a
clue how to predict NFL games! Got that? All right, then – here we go!
Buffalo
@ Miami (Thur
6:30 pm)
5-4 tier 5 @ 5-4 tier 4. Miami
by 5. Vegas says by 5 ½. Dolphins won 22-9.
Minnesota
@ Chicago (Sun 11
am)
4-5 tier 6 @ 3-6 tier 7. Bears
by 1. Vegas says by 3 ½. Bears won 21-13.
Houston
@ Cleveland (Sun
11 am)
4-5 tier 6 @ 6-3 tier 3. Browns
by 9. Vegas
says 3 ½. Houston upset the Browns, 23-7. Vegas' point, 1-0.
Seattle
@ Kansas City (Sun
11 am)
6-3 tier 4 v. 6-3 tier 4. Chiefs
by 3. Vegas
says Seahawks by 1. Chiefs won, 24-20. Our point: 1-1!
Atlanta
@ Carolina (Sun
11 am)
3-6 tier 7 @ 3-5-1 tier 5. Panthers
by 7. Vegas says by 3. Atlanta blocked a field goal to win the game, 19-17.
Cincinnati
@ New Orleans
(Sun 11 am)
5-3-1 tier 3 @ 4-5 tier 5.
Saints by 1. Vegas
says by 7. The Bengals pull the upset IN New Orleans, 27-10, so we win this "bet". FF up 2-1.
Tampa
Bay @ Washington (Sun
11 am)
1-8 tier 8 @ 3-6 tier 6. Redskins
by 7. Vegas
agrees. And we were both wrong...27-7, Bucs.
Denver
@ St. Louis (Sun 11
am)
7-2 tier 1 @ 3-6 tier 7.
Broncos by 9. Vegas says by 10 ½. When you've got Shaun Hill going 20-29 w no interceptions, and "Greg The Leg" Zeurlein kicking five FGs, plus three injured receivers for the Broncos, you get a 22-7 Rams victory.
San
Francisco @ New Jersey Giants (Sun
11 am)
5-4 tier 5 @ 3-6 tier 6. Giants
by 1. Vegas
says the 49ers by 4 ½. And the Niners won by six, 16-10. Point, Vegas, score is 2-2. So we call the contest a tie this week.
Oakland
@ San Diego (Sun
2:05 pm)
0-9 tier 8 @ 5-4 tier 4. Chargers
by 11. Vegas says by 10. The Raiders said seven. They may have lost 16 in a row, but they seem to always play close games!
Philadelphia
@ Green Bay (Sun
2:25 pm)
6-2 tier 2 @ 6-3 tier 1. Packers
by 4. Vegas says by 7. On the other hand, the Packers are on a ROLL. 53 points without seeming to try hard against a division leader - ridiculous.
Detroit
@ Arizona (Sun
2:25 pm)
7-2 tier 2 @ 8-1 tier 1. AZ lost its QB. Arizona by (less than) 5. Vegas says by 1, which given the circumstances makes more sense. Great game! A superb defensive struggle in which AZ put up two quick TDs and made them hold up for 50 more minutes against Stafford, Megatron, and the Lions, 14-6.
New
England @ Indianapolis
(6:30 pm)
7-2 tier 1 @ 6-3 tier 2. Colts
by 1. Vegas says by 2 ½. And the Pats made it clear who the best in the AFC is: New England 42, Indy 20.
Pittsburgh
@ Tennessee (Mon
6:20 pm)
6-4 tier 3 @ 2-7 tier 8. Steelers
by 7. Vegas says by 5 ½.
The thing about those picks, to us, is that our instincts say that the Vegas line makes perfect sense: Houston could very well stay close to the Browns; Seattle "should" be able to beat KC, the Saints at home are a juggernaut; and the 49ers "should" be the favorite as well. But we'll stick with the tiers and see what happens! (There's no money riding on it, after all - this is all fun and games!)
And the CFL
PLAYOFFS start this weekend!
BC
Lions @ Montreal Alouettes
(Sun 1 pm) – West semifinal
Both 9-9 teams; both looked poor
last week. Home field advantage will be important… Montreal by 3.
Saskatchewan
Roughriders @ Edmonton Eskimos
(Sun 4:30 pm) – East semifinal
Eskimos finished 12-6, the
Roughriders 10-8. MMQB “leans
towards the Eskimos”, and we do too. Edmonton
by 5.
No comments:
Post a Comment