Showing posts with label Bottom Eight. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Bottom Eight. Show all posts

Sunday, November 8, 2015

College football rankings following Week 10 - FCS

And here are the full tiers and rankings for Division 1-AA, aka the FCS, all 125 teams. The highest tier for any team is #1 Jacksonville State's tier K, the highest tier reached by any FCS team this season (recall they use the same tiers as the FBS teams this season, so we can compare across divisions). And we can locate the Bottom Eight here as well, just as we did for the FBS, all the way down to the team which has occupied the #125 spot all year, the Davidson Wildcats, who are trying to avoid the first negative Sagarin rating in memory (they were at 0.60 last week - for comparison, JSU was at 65.3, and Alabama was at 95.6 last week).


FF tier Team Conf CfRec OvRec
K1 Jacksonville State ovc 6 0 8 1
L2 North Dakota State mvc 5 1 7 2
M3 Illinois State mvc 5 1 7 2
M4 Northern Iowa mvc 3 3 5 4
N5 McNeese State s-land 8 0 9 0
N6 Southern Utah b-sky 6 0 7 2
N7 Coastal Carolina b-sou 3 1 8 1
N8 South Dakota State mvc 4 2 7 2
N9 Youngstown State mvc 3 3 5 4
O10 William & Mary caa 5 1 7 2
O11 James Madison caa 4 2 7 2
P12 Harvard ivy 5 0 8 0
P13 Portland State b-sky 4 2 7 2
P14 Sam Houston St s-land 5 2 6 3
P15 The Citadel sthrn 6 0 7 2
P16 Western Illinois mvc 3 3 4 5
P17 Southern Illinois mvc 2 4 3 6
Q18 Charleston Southern b-sou 5 0 8 1
Q19 Chattanooga sthrn 5 1 7 2
Q20 South Dakota mvc 3 3 5 4
Q21 UT-Martin ovc 5 1 6 3
Q22 Northern Arizona b-sky 4 2 6 3
R23 Eastern Illinois ovc 5 1 5 4
R24 Indiana State mvc 2 4 4 5
R25 Dartmouth ivy 3 1 7 1
R26 Eastern Kentucky ovc 4 2 5 4
R27 Montana State b-sky 2 5 4 5
R28 Cal Poly SLO b-sky 1 4 2 6
R29 Montana b-sky 4 2 5 4
S30 Eastern Washington b-sky 6 1 6 3
S31 Richmond caa 5 1 7 2
S32 NC A&T meac 6 0 8 1
S33 Central Arkansas s-land 6 1 6 3
S34 Towson caa 4 2 6 3
S35 New Hampshire caa 3 3 5 4
S36 Fordham patr 4 1 8 2
S37 Bethune-Cookman meac 6 1 8 2
T38 Villanova caa 4 2 5 4
T39 Western Carolina sthrn 4 2 6 3
T40 SC State meac 4 2 5 4
T41 North Dakota b-sky 3 3 5 4
T42 SE Missouri State ovc 3 2 4 5
T43 Liberty b-sou 2 2 5 4
U44 Grambling St swacW 7 0 7 2
U45 Weber State b-sky 5 3 5 5
U46 Furman sthrn 2 3 4 5
U47 Dayton pion 6 0 9 0
V48 Penn ivy 4 0 5 3
V49 Bryant nec 3 1 5 4
V50 Prairie View A&M swacW 6 1 7 2
V51 SE Louisiana s-land 3 4 4 5
V52 Princeton ivy 2 3 5 3
V53 Yale ivy 2 3 5 3
V54 Alcorn State swacE 4 2 5 3
V55 Samford sthrn 1 4 4 5
V56 Mercer sthrn 1 4 4 5
V57 Jacksonville pion 4 2 7 2
V58 Lamar s-land 3 4 4 5
V59 Tennessee State ovc 1 5 4 5
W60 Wofford sthrn 2 3 4 5
W61 Hampton meac 4 3 5 5
W62 Colgate patr 3 0 5 4
W63 Northwestern St s-land 3 4 3 6
W64 Stephen F Austin s-land 3 4 3 6
W65 San Diego pion 5 1 7 2
W66 Northern Colorado b-sky 3 4 5 4
W67 Southern swacW 5 2 5 4
W68 Stony Brook caa 1 5 3 5
W69 Elon caa 2 4 3 6
X70 Duquesne nec 4 1 7 3
X71 Lehigh patr 3 1 5 4
X72 Murray State ovc 2 4 3 6
X73 Idaho State b-sky 1 5 2 7
X74 NC Central meac 5 1 6 3
X75 Maine caa 3 3 3 6
X76 Albany caa 2 4 3 6
X77 Holy Cross patr 1 3 4 5
X78 Monmouth b-sou 1 3 3 6
Y79 Bucknell patr 1 3 4 5
Y80 Kennesaw St b-sou 2 2 6 3
Y81 Delaware caa 2 4 3 6
Y82 St. Francis - PA nec 3 1 6 3
Y83 Abilene Christian s-land 2 6 2 7
Y84 Sacramento State b-sky 1 5 2 6
Y85 Tennessee Tech ovc 1 5 2 7
Y86 Columbia ivy 1 4 2 6
Y87 Morgan State meac 3 3 4 5
Z88 Alabama State swacE 5 3 5 4
Z89 Incarnate Word s-land 4 3 5 4
Z90 Marist pion 4 2 5 4
Z91 Norfolk State meac 3 3 3 6
Z92 Georgetown patr 2 1 4 5
Z93 Drake pion 3 3 4 5
Z94 Rhode Island caa 1 5 1 8
a095 Central Connecticut nec 3 2 4 6
a096 Morehead State pion 4 2 5 4
a097 VMI sthrn 1 5 2 8
a098 Campbell pion 3 4 5 5
a099 UC Davis b-sky 1 5 1 8
a100 Sacred Heart nec 1 3 4 5
b101 Missouri State mvc 0 6 1 8
b102 Jackson State swacE 3 4 3 6
b103 Butler pion 3 3 5 4
b104 Presbyterian b-sou 0 4 1 8
b105 Nicholls State s-land 2 5 2 7
b106 Brown ivy 2 3 4 4
b107 Gardner-Webb b-sou 2 3 3 6
b108 Alabama A&M swacE 2 4 2 6
b109 Howard meac 1 5 1 8
b110 Texas Southern swacW 2 5 3 5
c111 Cornell ivy 0 5 0 8
d112 Lafayette patr 0 5 1 9
d113 Austin Peay ovc 0 7 0 10
d114 Miss Valley St swacE 1 7 1 9
d115 Florida A&M meac 1 5 1 8
e116 Robert Morris nec 1 3 3 6
e117 Savannah State meac 1 5 1 7
e118 Wagner nec 0 4 0 9
e119 Delaware State meac 0 6 0 9
f120 Houston Baptist s-land 0 6 2 7
f121 East Tennessee St* sthrn 0 0 1 8
f122 Stetson pion 1 6 2 7
f123 Ark-Pine Bluff swacW 0 7 1 8
f124 Valparaiso pion 1 5 2 7
g125 Davidson pion 0 6 1 8

Sunday, November 1, 2015

Our first rankings, ahead of the CFP committee's Tuesday:

It's time to start breaking down our tiers into rankings, as the NCAA College Football Playoff committee prepares for ITS first rankings on Tuesday evening. Here are our top 35 FBS teams after Week 9 of the 2015 season:

Tier A) 1. LSU (7-0). 2. Clemson (8-0). 3. Alabama (7-1). 4. Notre Dame (7-1). 5. TCU (7-0).
Tier B) 6. Michigan St (8-0). 7. Florida (7-1). 8. Ohio St (8-0).  9. Oklahoma (7-1). 10. Baylor (8-0). 11. Stanford (7-1).
Tier C) 12. Iowa (8-0). 13. Ole Miss (7-2). 14. Michigan (6-2). 15. Texas A&M (6-2). 16. Utah (7-1). 17. Mississippi St (6-2).
Tier D) 18. Oklahoma St (8-0). 19. Memphis (8-0). 20. Toledo (7-0). 21. Houston (8-0). 22. Temple (7-1).
Tier E) 23. UCLA (6-2). 24. Florida St (7-1). 25. BYU (6-2). 26. Wisconsin (7-2). 27. Georgia (5-3).
Tier F) 28. North Carolina (7-1). 29. USC (5-3). 30. Appalachian St (7-1). 31. Duke (6-2).
Tier G) 32. Tennessee (4-4). 33. Navy (6-1). 34. Boise St (7-2). 35. Northwestern (7-2). 36. California (5-3). 37. Auburn (4-4).

Tier H) Pitt, Miami-Fl, West Virginia, Oregon, Arizona St, Arkansas, Louisiana Tech, Bowling Green.
Tier I) Georgia Tech, Minnesota, Kansas St, Kentucky, Missouri, Northern Illinois.
Tier J) Texas Tech, Washington St, Arizona, Vanderbilt, South Carolina, Cincinnati, Marshall, San Diego St.
Tier K) Boston College, Indiana, Iowa St, Texas, East Carolina, Central Michigan, Western Michigan, Air Force, Utah St.
Tier L) Purdue, Nebraska, South Florida, U Conn, Southern Miss, Georgia Southern.
Tier M) Syracuse, Virginia, Illinois, Arkansas St.
Tier N) Wake Forest, Colorado, Tulsa, Ohio, Akron.
Tier O) Rutgers, Maryland, Oregon St, Middle Tennessee, Buffalo.
Tier P) Rice, Colorado St, Nevada, UNLV.
Tier Q) SMU, FIU, Ball St, San Jose St, UL-Lafayette.
Tier R) Tulane, FAU, New Mexico, Texas St, Troy.
Tier S) Kent St, Idaho, Hawaii, Fresno St.

And the Bottom Sixteen...

Tier T) 113. U Mass (1-7). 114. Kansas (0-8). 115. South Alabama (3-4). 116. Old Dominion (3-5). 117. Wyoming (1-8).
Tier U) 118. Army-West Point (2-6). 119. UT-San Antonio (1-7). 120. New Mexico St (1-7). 121. North Texas (1-7). 122. UL-Monroe (1-7).
Tier V) 123. Miami-OH (1-8). 124. UTEP (3-5). 125. Georgia St (2-5). 126. Charlotte (2-6). 127. Eastern Michigan (1-8). 128. Central Florida (0-9).

As for Top Eights, the Power Five conferences hold the first eight spots above, while the Top Eight for the Group Of Five conferences (pivotal for bowl placement) are as follows right now:
1. Memphis (#19) - 2. Toledo (#20) - 3. Houston (#21) - 4. Temple (#22) - 5. BYU (#25) - 6. Appalachian St (#30) - 7. Navy (#33) - 8. Boise St (#34). 

And the Bottom Fives? Well, all of Tier V comes from the Group Of Five conferences, so there's your bottom five there (UTEP through UCF). As for the Power Five conferences, here are their Bottom Five:
1. Kansas (tier T) - 2. Maryland (tier O) - 3. Rutgers (tier O) - 4. Oregon St (tier O) - 5. Wake Forest (tier N). 

Rankings for the FCS teams and the NFL will come out in the next 24 hours or so...

Thursday, January 15, 2015

Comparing the final rankings...

It's always interesting to compare opinions, especially when the entire point of sports is to enjoy the competition between your guys and their guys and in doing so, comparing the two teams - and in the context of an entire season, comparing your guys to a slough of "their guys" and deciding how far up the ladder your guys are. (Ladies: "guys" is meant as a unisex term here.)

So, with that in mind, here's a list based on the Following Football #1-128 tiered ranking system that includes the final poll from the AP writers, the Sagaring rating system (if you need a primer in the Sagarin system, let me know!), the Massey Index (which compares and compiles 91 different computer and human ranking systems and then provides us with (for lack of a better term) a 'consensus' result), and the Superlist, which combines the six known meta-lists and gives us a different kind of consensus!

(The Sagarin rating and rank are in red simply to make the two connect visually better. The actual Sagarin rankings include the FCS teams: Eastern Michigan is really #208 in the country, out of 252! Also, the letters on the Massey rankings are tiers, just like FF uses: while these come from our hand, they're denoting the natural breaks in the totals - where there's a big gap between schools and where the groupings are.)


Final Final  Final  Final
Final Final Sagarin Massey Superlist AP
Ranking Team Conf Record rating Ranking Ranking rank
A1 Ohio St b10 14-1 100.81 1 A1 1 1
A2 Oregon pac 13-2 95.71 4 A2 2 2
A3 Alabama sec 12-2 96.83 3 A3 3 4
A4 Florida St acc 13-1 84.86 16 B7 6 5T
A5 TCU b12 12-1 99.58 2 A4 4 3
B06 Michigan St b10 11-2 93.36 6 B+5 5 5T
B07 Baylor b12 11-2 90.57 7 B8 8 7
B08 Georgia Tech acc 11-3 87.42 12 C09 11 8
B09 Mississippi St sec 10-3 89.19 9 C12 14 11
B10 Georgia sec 10-3 95.13 5 B6 7 9
B11 UCLA pac 10-3 84.71 17 C11 9 10
C12 Ole Miss sec 9-4 89.82 8 C10 10 17
C13 Missouri sec 11-3 85.06 15 D13 13 14
C14 Kansas St b12 9-4 84.48 19 E20 24 18
C15 Clemson acc 10-3 87.03 13 D15 12 15
C16 Wisconsin b10 11-3 83.48 21 D14 15 13
C17 Auburn sec 8-5 88.40 11 E16 17 22
D18 Boise St mw 12-2 77.43 36 E17 19 16
D19 Arizona St pac 10-3 81.96 25 E19 16 12
D20 USC pac 9-4 84.19 20 E18 18 20
D21 Arizona pac 10-4 77.76 33 E22 20 19
D22 LSU sec 8-5 85.53 14 F25 26
D23 Utah pac 9-4 82.75 23 F26 23 21
E24 Texas A&M sec 8-5 82.82 22 G29 27
E25 Stanford pac 8-5 84.61 18 F24 22
E26 Arkansas sec 7-6 88.48 10 F23 21
E27 Nebraska b10 9-4 81.09 29 G28 30
E28 Oklahoma b12 8-5 81.47 27 G30 31
E29 Louisville acc 9-4 80.60 30 G27 28 24
E30 Marshall cusa 13-1 82.36 24 E21 25 23
E31 Notre Dame ind 8-5 79.83 31 H+32 32
E32 Minnesota b10 8-5 76.17 37 H34 35
E33 Duke acc 9-4 74.99 41 I40 40
F34 Florida sec 7-5 81.48 26 H+31 29
F35 South Carolina sec 7-6 77.56 35 I39 38
F36 Colorado St mw 10-3 69.51 60 I38 37
F37 Memphis aac 10-3 76.11 38 H33 34 25
G38 West Virginia b12 7-6 78.53 32 I+36 36
G39 Washington pac 8-6 74.34 43 J+43 39
G40 Cincinnati aac 8-4 71.48 55 J46 53
G41 Miami-FL acc 6-7 75.08 40 K49 51
G42 Utah St mw 10-4 72.70 49 J+41 45
H43 North Carolina St acc 8-5 73.21 45 J+42 42
H44 Maryland b10 7-6 72.39 52 K54 48
H45 Tennessee sec 7-6 81.39 28 H35 33
H46 Northern Illinois mac 11-3 68.08 65 K53 54
H47 Rutgers b10 8-5 70.53 59 J47 41
H48 Penn St b10 7-6 73.55 44 K55 49
H49 Air Force mw 10-3 67.79 69 J45 47
I50 Texas b12 6-7 72.42 51 K51 52
I51 Oklahoma St b12 7-6 72.46 50 K50 44
I52 Iowa b10 7-6 73.13 46 L+57 56
I53 Boston College acc 7-6 74.36 42 J48 50
I54 Kentucky sec 5-7 73.04 47 M70 64
J55 Central Florida aac 9-4 71.18 56 K56 61
J56 East Carolina aac 8-5 69.44 62 L62 69
J57 BYU ind 8-5 71.61 53 K52 55
J58 Louisiana Tech cusa 9-5 77.57 34 I37 46
J59 Virginia Tech acc 7-6 75.30 39 J44 43
J60 Navy ind 8-5 68.05 66 L+58 57
K61 North Carolina acc 6-7 67.60 70 M69 63
K62 Georgia Southern sun 9-3 69.47 61 L59 62
K63 UL-Lafayette sun 9-4 66.68 71 M66 67
K64 Western Kentucky cusa 8-5 66.24 73 L64 70







Final Final Sagarin Massey Superlist
Ranking Team Conf Record rating Ranking Ranking
K65 California pac 5-7 71.55 54 M65 58
K66 Oregon St pac 5-7 66.05 75 N76 71
K67 Michigan b10 5-7 70.70 58 L63 59
L68 Western Michigan mac 8-5 64.84 80 N75 78
L69 Houston aac 8-5 67.89 68 M-71 75
L70 Pitt acc 6-7 70.86 57 M68 72
L71 Illinois b10 6-7 65.10 77 N+73 73
L72 Nevada mw 7-6 64.28 81 N+74 74
L73 Toledo mac 9-4 68.01 67 L61 65
M74 Texas Tech b12 4-8 66.48 72 O+78 77
M75 Virginia acc 5-7 72.79 48 L60 60
M76 Rice cusa 8-5 68.39 64 M67 66
M77 San Diego St mw 7-6 64.12 82 N-77 79
M78 Northwestern b10 5-7 69.29 63 M-72 68
N79 Temple aac 6-6 65.00 79 O81 83
N80 Bowling Green mac 8-6 57.13 98 P89 90
N81 Arkansas St sun 7-6 65.04 78 P+83 86
N82 Central Michigan mac 7-6 62.07 87 P86 88
O83 Fresno St mw 6-8 59.13 92 P88 85
O84 UTEP cusa 7-6 61.44 89 O82 80
O85 UAB cusa 6-6 65.30 76 O+79 82
O86 Washington St pac 3-9 66.18 74 O80 76
O87 Texas St sun 7-5 58.75 93 P90 92
O88 Appalachian St sun 7-5 61.82 88 P87 95
O89 Kansas b12 3-9 58.31 94 Q95 91
O90 Syracuse acc 3-9 62.97 84 P91 87
O91 South Alabama sun 6-7 55.89 104 Q96 98
P92 Purdue b10 4-8 62.34 86 Q94 94
P93 Ohio mac 6-6 54.80 107 R099 104
P94 Middle Tennessee cusa 6-6 60.79 91 P+84 84
P95 Colorado pac 2-10 62.93 85 Q+93 93
P96 Iowa St b12 2-10 61.38 90 R+97 96
Q097 UL-Monroe sun 4-8 55.96 103 S107 108
Q098 Ball St mac 5-7 57.68 96 R102 105
Q099 Wyoming mw 4-8 56.46 102 R098 97
Q100 Buffalo mac 5-6 53.54 110 S108 114
Q101 Wake Forest acc 3-9 56.50 101 S+103 102
Q102 Indiana b10 3-9 64.04 83 P+85 81
R103 Hawai'i mw 4-9 56.78 100 S106 101
R104 Old Dominion cusa 6-6 58.08 95 Q+92 89
R105 South Florida aac 4-8 52.68 114 S109 110
R106 New Mexico mw 4-8 55.18 105 R101 99
R107 Vanderbilt sec 3-9 57.14 97 R100 100
R108 FIU cusa 4-8 56.99 99 S104 106
S109 Florida Atlantic cusa 3-9 53.75 109 T+112 111
S110 Akron mac 5-7 54.86 106 S110 112
S111 Tulane aac 3-9 53.29 112 T+111 107
S112 Army ind 4-8 51.59 117 T116 116
S113 North Texas cusa 4-8 52.95 113 T115 113
S114 Southern Miss cusa 3-9 53.54 111 T113 115
T115 San Jose St mw 3-9 52.04 115 T114 109
T116 UT-San Antonio sun 4-7 54.31 108 S105 103
T117 Miami-OH mac 2-10 50.26 118 U120 121
T118 Troy sun 3-9 46.10 123 U122 122
T119 Tulsa aac 2-10 48.43 119 U118 118
T120 UNLV mw 2-11 46.94 121 U121 119
U121 Kent St mac 2-9 47.47 120 U119 120
U122 U Massachusetts mac 3-9 51.69 116 U117 117
U123 U Conn aac 2-10 44.70 125 V+123 123
U124 Idaho sun 1-10 46.66 122 V125 127
U125 Eastern Michigan mac 2-10 38.77 128 V126 126
U126 SMU aac 1-11 39.15 127 V124 124
V127 New Mexico St sun 2-10 45.20 124 V127 125
V128 Georgia St sun 1-11 41.00 126 V-128 128

A few interesting things to notice:  Yes, Ohio State gets #1 in all systems, but not really unanimously. TCU actually had the highest Sagarin rating by two full points before the Buckeye beatdown on Oregon's finest...Florida State's position is as uncertain as ever: we still have them fourth, since we had them top four and in the playoff before it started; but some organizations drop them out of the top four, and in fact their rankings range from 4 down to 16!...Michigan State's in the top six in every system. Big month for the B1G!...Lotta love for Marshall in the final analysis - top 25 in all set-ups except ours...Also hard to believe the last place team in a division could be in the top 25, but Arkansas' annihilation of Texas and the last few games of their season is pushing their stock up into the high twenties!...Florida, Tennessee, Virginia Tech, and Louisiana Tech are all getting much higher rankings from all of the other systems than we gave them: I guess we're going to have to take another look, aren't we?...Certain combinations you tend to look for automatically, right? Nebraska finished ahead of Oklahoma across the board; Michigan is generally ahead of their directional schools, especially up-and-coming Western Michigan...Speaking of Broncos, how about Boise State, carrying the banner for the small programs once again - the first non-power conference team to win three BCS/New Year's Six games (only one to PLAY in that many, too!)...If this really was Alabama-Birmingham's last year of football, they fared commendably: 6-6, with every ranking between 76 and 85....The dis-honor of the lowest Power Conference team goes to Wake Forest, although within the FF rankings, Vanderbilt fell below the Demon Deacons....And, as always, the Bottom Twelve or so are set in concrete, with virtually identical membership from all four rating systems (Army gets its nose in twelfth from the bottom on the Sagarin scale) - Miami - OH, Troy, Tulsa, UNLV, Kent St, UMass, UConn, Idaho, Eastern Michigane, SMU, New Mexico St, and last place holder, Georgia St. A lack of sincerity in our congratulations to ALL of you!