...but what about Aussie Rules? I spent the evening digging into the last decade or so, and came up with an interesting conclusion about the three game pre-season about to begin down under:
The first game is random...but pay CLOSE attention to the second and third games!
There have been a couple of different formats over the last few years, mostly for fan interest, but the result was the same: the teams that looked good over the LAST TWO GAMES looked good in the season as well, and problems in those games didn't just "go away" when the lights came on. Even when the forecasts were wrong (like with Sydney last year), it was because the team really DID look like that, but changed as the season progressed (the Swans starter 1-3, and then figured out how to use their new superstar and won 12 in a row en route to the Grand Final), or injuries took them down (see: Gold Coast and Collingwood last season).
So...We'll stick with our ratings and predictions from the previous post UNTIL the end of March, when we've had our chance to see the teams play games B and C (eh, Canucks?), and then PLACE OUR BETS!
No comments:
Post a Comment